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feat: add beliefs with evidence-derived confidence, contradictions and corrections

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Phase 6. Beliefs are propositions with a prior set by epistemic kind and a
confidence computed from typed evidence: sigmoid(logit(prior) + slope ×
(support × diversity − opposition)), where support from a single source
is discounted so repetition cannot manufacture certainty, and bounds keep
the mind away from absolute certainty. Every evaluation stores its
breakdown and appends a version row protected by the append-only
trigger; the belief page shows the arithmetic, evidence for and against,
alternatives, contradictions and history.

Contradiction detection is deterministic first (negation plus token
overlap): a hit emits contradiction_detected, links both beliefs and
makes each counter-evidence for the other so both trend to contested.
Operators can assert beliefs (their statement is the evidence), add
evidence, mark a belief wrong (pinned rejected, history kept) and forbid
an inference; do-not-infer corrections block matching hypotheses.
Retracting a memory retracts the evidence that cited it and re-evaluates
the beliefs concerned.

The associate process proposes low-confidence causal hypotheses from
co-occurring notable observations, and the hypothesis handler turns
admitted ones into beliefs with automatic alternatives, closing demo
scenarios 1 and 2 without any model call.
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Andy Dixon
2026-06-21 22:14:12 +01:00
parent 03631e5685
commit 73e5753a91
29 changed files with 2344 additions and 20 deletions
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CHANGELOG.md
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@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ All notable changes to Noema are recorded here. Format follows Keep a Changelog;
## [Unreleased]
### Added
- Phase 6 beliefs: evidence-derived confidence with inspectable arithmetic, statuses, alternatives, append-only history, deterministic contradiction detection, temporal-association hypotheses, operator corrections (wrong, do-not-infer, inaccurate memory), belief explorer and CLI.
- Phase 5 memory: episodic/semantic/procedural/autobiographical memory with epistemic status, fused retrieval with inspectable component scores, optional pgvector embeddings, decay without deletion, attention-gated encoding, retrieval process, memory explorer and CLI.
- Phase 4 cognition core: deterministic attention scoring with inspectable breakdowns, global workspace and working memory with decay, per-mind cognitive runtime with bounded concurrent processes, loop detection, operator controls, live workspace page and CLI.
- Phase 3 events: append-only cognitive event store with provenance links, filtered queries, durable cursors, live SSE streams with resume, forensic event explorer UI, thought stream page, operator observations and CLI.