feat: add beliefs with evidence-derived confidence, contradictions and corrections

Phase 6. Beliefs are propositions with a prior set by epistemic kind and a
confidence computed from typed evidence: sigmoid(logit(prior) + slope ×
(support × diversity − opposition)), where support from a single source
is discounted so repetition cannot manufacture certainty, and bounds keep
the mind away from absolute certainty. Every evaluation stores its
breakdown and appends a version row protected by the append-only
trigger; the belief page shows the arithmetic, evidence for and against,
alternatives, contradictions and history.

Contradiction detection is deterministic first (negation plus token
overlap): a hit emits contradiction_detected, links both beliefs and
makes each counter-evidence for the other so both trend to contested.
Operators can assert beliefs (their statement is the evidence), add
evidence, mark a belief wrong (pinned rejected, history kept) and forbid
an inference; do-not-infer corrections block matching hypotheses.
Retracting a memory retracts the evidence that cited it and re-evaluates
the beliefs concerned.

The associate process proposes low-confidence causal hypotheses from
co-occurring notable observations, and the hypothesis handler turns
admitted ones into beliefs with automatic alternatives, closing demo
scenarios 1 and 2 without any model call.
This commit is contained in:
Andy Dixon
2026-06-21 22:14:12 +01:00
parent 03631e5685
commit 73e5753a91
29 changed files with 2344 additions and 20 deletions
+7
View File
@@ -168,3 +168,10 @@ tr.dayrow td { background: var(--surface-2); font-weight: 600; font-size: .78rem
.badge.k-episodic { background: #e0f2fe; color: #0369a1; } .badge.k-semantic { background: #ede9fe; color: #6d28d9; } .badge.k-procedural { background: #dcfce7; color: #15803d; } .badge.k-autobiographical { background: #fef3c7; color: #b45309; }
:root[data-theme="dark"] .badge.k-episodic, :root:not([data-theme="light"]) .badge.k-episodic { background: #0c2a3a; color: #7dd3fc; }
:root[data-theme="dark"] .badge.k-semantic { background: #2a1f4d; color: #c4b5fd; } :root[data-theme="dark"] .badge.k-procedural { background: #12331d; color: #86efac; } :root[data-theme="dark"] .badge.k-autobiographical { background: #3a2a0a; color: #fcd34d; }
/* Beliefs */
.badge.st-hypothesis { background: var(--surface-2); color: var(--muted); } .badge.st-tentative { background: #fef3c7; color: #b45309; } .badge.st-likely { background: #dbeafe; color: #1d4ed8; }
.badge.st-accepted { background: var(--ok-soft); color: var(--ok); } .badge.st-contested { background: #fde68a; color: #92400e; } .badge.st-rejected { background: var(--danger-soft); color: var(--danger); } .badge.st-superseded { background: var(--surface-2); color: var(--muted); text-decoration: line-through; }
:root[data-theme="dark"] .badge.st-tentative { background: #3a2a0a; color: #fcd34d; } :root[data-theme="dark"] .badge.st-likely { background: #172554; color: #93c5fd; } :root[data-theme="dark"] .badge.st-contested { background: #3d2e05; color: #fbbf24; }
.conf.big .conf-bar.wide { width: 100%; height: 10px; margin: .3rem 0 .8rem; }
ul.ev li { padding: .4rem 0; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--border); } ul.ev li:last-child { border-bottom: 0; } ul.ev li.retracted { opacity: .55; }