Commit Graph
2 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
Andy Dixon 08a265f0fa feat(beliefs): represent unknown explicitly; absence of evidence is not falsity
A belief with no live evidence on either side now derives the status
'unknown' instead of sitting tentatively at its prior. Withdrawing every
piece of evidence leaves the proposition unknown, never rejected, and
introspection answers 'I do not know whether X' rather than quoting the
prior. Hypotheses keep their own status because they are proposals by
construction. Migration 0019 widens the status constraint; the docs define
every epistemic number and how absence of evidence is handled.
2026-08-05 23:04:15 +01:00
Andy Dixon 73e5753a91 feat: add beliefs with evidence-derived confidence, contradictions and corrections
Phase 6. Beliefs are propositions with a prior set by epistemic kind and a
confidence computed from typed evidence: sigmoid(logit(prior) + slope ×
(support × diversity − opposition)), where support from a single source
is discounted so repetition cannot manufacture certainty, and bounds keep
the mind away from absolute certainty. Every evaluation stores its
breakdown and appends a version row protected by the append-only
trigger; the belief page shows the arithmetic, evidence for and against,
alternatives, contradictions and history.

Contradiction detection is deterministic first (negation plus token
overlap): a hit emits contradiction_detected, links both beliefs and
makes each counter-evidence for the other so both trend to contested.
Operators can assert beliefs (their statement is the evidence), add
evidence, mark a belief wrong (pinned rejected, history kept) and forbid
an inference; do-not-infer corrections block matching hypotheses.
Retracting a memory retracts the evidence that cited it and re-evaluates
the beliefs concerned.

The associate process proposes low-confidence causal hypotheses from
co-occurring notable observations, and the hypothesis handler turns
admitted ones into beliefs with automatic alternatives, closing demo
scenarios 1 and 2 without any model call.
2026-06-21 22:14:12 +01:00