Andy Dixon
7821d89cf5
Beliefs gain a temporal scope (persistent, transient or unknown, classified deterministically from the proposition), an observation time and, for transient states, a validity interval. When a newer belief conflicts with an older transient one observed at least a minute earlier, the older belief is closed (valid_until set, status superseded, a supersedes link, a version and an event saying 'state changed') with its score untouched: 'the door was open at 10:00' stays true of 10:00 when it is closed at 10:05. Simultaneous conflicting reports and persistent propositions contradict as before. Introspection lists superseded states with their validity. Migration 0020 is additive.
82 lines
9.4 KiB
HTML
82 lines
9.4 KiB
HTML
{{define "content"}}
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{{$m := .Data.Mind}}{{$d := .Data.Detail}}{{$b := $d.Belief}}{{$bd := $d.Breakdown}}
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<div class="pagehead">
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<p class="muted small"><a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}">{{$m.DisplayName}}</a> › <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs">beliefs</a></p>
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<h1><span class="badge st-{{$b.Status}}">{{$b.Status}}</span> {{$b.Proposition}}</h1>
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<p class="score-line"><strong>Epistemic score {{conf $b.Confidence}}</strong> <span class="muted small">(uncalibrated: derived from recorded evidence, not a probability of truth)</span>
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· calibrated: {{if $d.Calibration.Available}}<strong>{{conf $d.Calibration.Estimate}}</strong> <span class="muted small">(hit rate of {{$d.Calibration.SampleSize}} decided predictions in this range)</span>{{else}}<span class="muted small">not available ({{$d.Calibration.Reason}})</span>{{end}}
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· main uncertainty: <span class="muted">{{$d.PrimaryUncertainty}}</span></p>
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<p class="muted small">temporal scope <span class="badge small">{{$b.TemporalScope}}</span>{{with $b.ObservedAt}} · observed {{date .}}{{end}}{{with $b.ValidFrom}} · valid from {{date .}}{{end}}{{with $b.ValidUntil}} · <strong>until {{date .}}</strong> (superseded by a later observation; this remained true of its time){{end}}</p>
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<p class="muted">{{$b.Epistemic}} · version {{$b.Version}} · first {{date $b.FirstCreated}} · evaluated {{$b.Evaluations}}× · source {{$b.Source}}{{if $b.Subject}} · subject <span class="mono">{{$b.Subject}}</span>{{end}}{{if $b.PinnedStatus}} · <span class="badge warn">status pinned by operator</span>{{end}}</p>
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</div>
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<section class="grid cols-3-1">
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<div class="stack">
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<div class="card">
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<h2>Confidence {{conf $b.Confidence}} <span class="muted small">how it was computed</span></h2>
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<div class="conf big"><span class="conf-bar wide"><i style="width:{{pct $b.Confidence}}"></i></span></div>
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<dl class="kv small">
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<dt>Prior</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.Prior}} <span class="muted">({{$b.Epistemic}})</span></dd>
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<dt>Support</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.For}} <span class="muted">Σ weight × credibility over {{$bd.SourcesFor}} source(s); diversity scale {{conf $bd.DiversityScale}}</span></dd>
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<dt>Opposition</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.Against}}</dd>
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<dt>Log-odds</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.LogOdds}}</dd>
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<dt>Formula</dt><dd class="mono">{{$bd.Formula}}</dd>
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{{range $bd.Notes}}<dt>Note</dt><dd class="warn">{{.}}</dd>{{end}}
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</dl>
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</div>
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<div class="grid cols-2">
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<div class="card">
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<h2>Evidence for</h2>
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<ul class="plain ev">{{range $d.Evidence}}{{if eq .Direction "for"}}<li class="{{if .Retracted}}retracted{{end}}"><div><strong>{{conf .Weight}}</strong> × cred {{conf .Credibility}} <span class="badge">{{.Kind}}</span> {{if .Retracted}}<span class="badge danger">retracted</span>{{end}}</div><div>{{.Note}}</div><div class="muted small">{{.Source}} · {{ago .CreatedAt}} {{if and (eq .Kind "event") .RefID}}· <a href="/events/{{.RefID}}">event</a>{{else if and (eq .Kind "memory") .RefID}}· <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/memory/{{.RefID}}">memory</a>{{else if and (eq .Kind "belief") .RefID}}· <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{.RefID}}">belief</a>{{end}}</div><div class="muted small">provenance: <span class="badge small">{{.Derivation}}</span> family <code>{{.Family}}</code>{{if eq .ProvenanceStatus "legacy_unknown"}} <span class="badge warn small" title="written before ancestry was recorded; family is the source string">legacy</span>{{end}}{{range .RootIDs}} · <a href="/events/{{.}}">root</a>{{end}}</div></li>{{end}}{{else}}<li class="muted">None.</li>{{end}}</ul>
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{{if $bd.Families}}<h3 class="small muted">Independent sources</h3><table class="table compact"><thead><tr><th>Family</th><th></th><th class="num">Items</th><th class="num">Primary</th><th class="num">Counts as</th></tr></thead><tbody>{{range $bd.Families}}<tr><td><code>{{.Family}}</code></td><td class="small">{{.Direction}}</td><td class="num">{{.Items}}</td><td class="num">{{.Primary}}</td><td class="num">{{printf "%.2f" .Contribution}}</td></tr>{{end}}</tbody></table><p class="small muted">Within a family the strongest primary item counts in full and further items add a quarter each (capped at 1.5×); derived items count only when the family has no primary item. Diversity counts families: {{$bd.SourcesFor}}.</p>{{end}}
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</div>
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<div class="card">
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{{if $d.Assertions}}<h2>Who said so</h2>
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<ul class="plain ev">{{range $d.Assertions}}<li><div><strong>{{.AttributedTo}}</strong> {{.Stance}} it <span class="badge small">{{.Modality}}</span> <span class="badge small">{{.Certainty}}</span>{{if .Reported}} <span class="badge small warn" title="second-hand: relayed by {{.Actor}}">reported by {{.Actor}}</span>{{end}}{{if .Hypothetical}} <span class="badge small">hypothetical</span>{{end}}{{if .Negated}} <span class="badge small">negated</span>{{end}}</div>
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<div class="muted small">interpretation confidence {{pct .Interpretation}}{{range .Notes}} · {{.}}{{end}} · {{ago .CreatedAt}}{{if .SourceEvent}} · <a href="/events/{{.SourceEvent}}">message</a>{{end}}</div></li>{{end}}</ul>
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<p class="small muted">An assertion records that somebody took a stance. Its confidence is about the reading, not the proposition; the proposition's score is above and rests on the evidence listed.</p>{{end}}
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<h2>Evidence against</h2>
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<ul class="plain ev">{{range $d.Evidence}}{{if eq .Direction "against"}}<li class="{{if .Retracted}}retracted{{end}}"><div><strong>{{conf .Weight}}</strong> × cred {{conf .Credibility}} <span class="badge">{{.Kind}}</span></div><div>{{.Note}}</div><div class="muted small">{{.Source}} · {{ago .CreatedAt}} {{if and (eq .Kind "belief") .RefID}}· <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{.RefID}}">belief</a>{{else if and (eq .Kind "event") .RefID}}· <a href="/events/{{.RefID}}">event</a>{{end}}</div></li>{{end}}{{else}}<li class="muted">None.</li>{{end}}</ul>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="card">
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<h2>Alternative explanations</h2>
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{{if $d.Alternatives}}<ul class="plain">{{range $d.Alternatives}}<li>{{.Proposition}} <span class="muted small">({{.Status}}{{if .Note}} · {{.Note}}{{end}})</span></li>{{end}}</ul>{{else}}<p class="muted small">None recorded.</p>{{end}}
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{{if .Principal.User.Role.AtLeast "operator"}}<form method="post" action="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{$b.ID}}/alternatives" class="row"><input type="hidden" name="_csrf" value="{{.CSRF}}"><input name="proposition" placeholder="another explanation" size="40" required><button class="btn small" type="submit">Add</button></form>{{end}}
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</div>
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{{if $d.Links}}<div class="card"><h2>Contradictions and links</h2><ul class="plain">{{range $d.Links}}<li><span class="badge danger">{{.Relation}}</span> <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{.Other.ID}}">{{.Other.Proposition}}</a> <span class="muted small">({{.Other.Status}}, {{conf .Other.Confidence}})</span></li>{{end}}</ul></div>{{end}}
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<div class="card">
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<h2>History <span class="muted small">append-only</span></h2>
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<table class="table compact"><thead><tr><th>v</th><th>Status</th><th class="num">Conf</th><th>Reason</th><th>When</th><th></th></tr></thead>
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<tbody>{{range $d.Versions}}<tr><td>{{.Version}}</td><td><span class="badge st-{{.Status}}">{{.Status}}</span></td><td class="num">{{conf .Confidence}}</td><td class="small">{{.Reason}}</td><td class="small muted nowrap">{{.CreatedAt.Local.Format "01-02 15:04:05"}}</td><td>{{if .EventID}}<a class="small" href="/events/{{.EventID}}">event</a>{{end}}</td></tr>{{end}}</tbody></table>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div class="stack">
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{{if .Principal.User.Role.AtLeast "operator"}}
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<div class="card">
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<h2>Add evidence</h2>
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<form method="post" action="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{$b.ID}}/evidence" class="stack">
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<input type="hidden" name="_csrf" value="{{.CSRF}}">
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<label>Direction <select name="direction"><option value="for">for</option><option value="against">against</option></select></label>
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<label>Note <input name="note" required maxlength="500" placeholder="what you observed"></label>
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<label class="slider"><span>Weight</span><input type="range" name="weight" min="0.1" max="1" step="0.1" value="0.5" data-out><output>0.5</output></label>
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<div><button class="btn small" type="submit">Add</button></div>
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</form>
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</div>
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{{if ne $b.Status "rejected"}}
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<div class="card">
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<h2>Correct</h2>
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<form method="post" action="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{$b.ID}}/retract" class="stack">
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<input type="hidden" name="_csrf" value="{{.CSRF}}">
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<label>Why it is wrong <input name="reason" required maxlength="500"></label>
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<label class="check"><input type="checkbox" name="do_not_infer" value="1"> Do not infer this again</label>
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<div><button class="btn btn-danger" type="submit" data-confirm="Mark this belief wrong? History is kept.">This belief is wrong</button></div>
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</form>
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</div>
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{{end}}
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{{end}}
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<div class="card"><h2>Events</h2>{{if $d.Origin}}<p class="small">Origin: <a href="/events/{{$d.Origin.ID}}">{{$d.Origin.Summary}}</a></p>{{end}}{{if $d.Events}}<ul class="plain small">{{range $d.Events}}<li><span class="etype cat-{{.Category}}">{{.Type}}</span> <a href="/events/{{.ID}}">{{.Summary}}</a></li>{{end}}</ul>{{else}}<p class="muted small">None.</p>{{end}}</div>
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<div class="card small"><span class="muted">ID</span> <span class="mono">{{$b.ID}}</span></div>
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</div>
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</section>
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{{end}}
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