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noema/web/templates/pages/belief_detail.html
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Andy Dixon 9b2521bffd feat(epistemics): record assertions between observations and beliefs
A statement made to a mind is now three things kept apart: the observation
that it arrived, an append-only assertion (attributed actor, stance,
certainty, modality, negation, reported or quoted speech, hypothetical
status, interpretation confidence and notes), and, only for factual
assertions, one piece of evidence for a proposition belief attributed to
whoever actually stands behind it. Reported speech is attributed to the
person reported and weighed as second-hand; hypotheticals, questions and
imperatives create no belief; expressed doubt counts against; a possibly
sarcastic remark is recorded with low interpretation confidence rather
than guessed at. Interpretation is deterministic code; a model may enrich
the claim list but never sets stance or confidence.

Association no longer treats conversational turns as world events:
hypotheticals, questions, requests and consecutive turns by one speaker
cannot seed causal hypotheses.

Adds internal/epistemics, migration 0018, the assertions API, assertions
on belief pages and in belief detail, a shared end-to-end test harness
(tests/harness), end-to-end tests for eight speech patterns, and updates
the milestone test to the new provenance.
2026-08-05 19:22:48 +01:00

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{{define "content"}}
{{$m := .Data.Mind}}{{$d := .Data.Detail}}{{$b := $d.Belief}}{{$bd := $d.Breakdown}}
<div class="pagehead">
<p class="muted small"><a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}">{{$m.DisplayName}}</a> › <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs">beliefs</a></p>
<h1><span class="badge st-{{$b.Status}}">{{$b.Status}}</span> {{$b.Proposition}}</h1>
<p class="muted">{{$b.Epistemic}} · version {{$b.Version}} · first {{date $b.FirstCreated}} · evaluated {{$b.Evaluations}}× · source {{$b.Source}}{{if $b.Subject}} · subject <span class="mono">{{$b.Subject}}</span>{{end}}{{if $b.PinnedStatus}} · <span class="badge warn">status pinned by operator</span>{{end}}</p>
</div>
<section class="grid cols-3-1">
<div class="stack">
<div class="card">
<h2>Confidence {{conf $b.Confidence}} <span class="muted small">how it was computed</span></h2>
<div class="conf big"><span class="conf-bar wide"><i style="width:{{pct $b.Confidence}}"></i></span></div>
<dl class="kv small">
<dt>Prior</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.Prior}} <span class="muted">({{$b.Epistemic}})</span></dd>
<dt>Support</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.For}} <span class="muted">Σ weight × credibility over {{$bd.SourcesFor}} source(s); diversity scale {{conf $bd.DiversityScale}}</span></dd>
<dt>Opposition</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.Against}}</dd>
<dt>Log-odds</dt><dd>{{conf $bd.LogOdds}}</dd>
<dt>Formula</dt><dd class="mono">{{$bd.Formula}}</dd>
{{range $bd.Notes}}<dt>Note</dt><dd class="warn">{{.}}</dd>{{end}}
</dl>
</div>
<div class="grid cols-2">
<div class="card">
<h2>Evidence for</h2>
<ul class="plain ev">{{range $d.Evidence}}{{if eq .Direction "for"}}<li class="{{if .Retracted}}retracted{{end}}"><div><strong>{{conf .Weight}}</strong> × cred {{conf .Credibility}} <span class="badge">{{.Kind}}</span> {{if .Retracted}}<span class="badge danger">retracted</span>{{end}}</div><div>{{.Note}}</div><div class="muted small">{{.Source}} · {{ago .CreatedAt}} {{if and (eq .Kind "event") .RefID}}· <a href="/events/{{.RefID}}">event</a>{{else if and (eq .Kind "memory") .RefID}}· <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/memory/{{.RefID}}">memory</a>{{else if and (eq .Kind "belief") .RefID}}· <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{.RefID}}">belief</a>{{end}}</div><div class="muted small">provenance: <span class="badge small">{{.Derivation}}</span> family <code>{{.Family}}</code>{{if eq .ProvenanceStatus "legacy_unknown"}} <span class="badge warn small" title="written before ancestry was recorded; family is the source string">legacy</span>{{end}}{{range .RootIDs}} · <a href="/events/{{.}}">root</a>{{end}}</div></li>{{end}}{{else}}<li class="muted">None.</li>{{end}}</ul>
{{if $bd.Families}}<h3 class="small muted">Independent sources</h3><table class="table compact"><thead><tr><th>Family</th><th></th><th class="num">Items</th><th class="num">Primary</th><th class="num">Counts as</th></tr></thead><tbody>{{range $bd.Families}}<tr><td><code>{{.Family}}</code></td><td class="small">{{.Direction}}</td><td class="num">{{.Items}}</td><td class="num">{{.Primary}}</td><td class="num">{{printf "%.2f" .Contribution}}</td></tr>{{end}}</tbody></table><p class="small muted">Within a family the strongest primary item counts in full and further items add a quarter each (capped at 1.5×); derived items count only when the family has no primary item. Diversity counts families: {{$bd.SourcesFor}}.</p>{{end}}
</div>
<div class="card">
{{if $d.Assertions}}<h2>Who said so</h2>
<ul class="plain ev">{{range $d.Assertions}}<li><div><strong>{{.AttributedTo}}</strong> {{.Stance}} it <span class="badge small">{{.Modality}}</span> <span class="badge small">{{.Certainty}}</span>{{if .Reported}} <span class="badge small warn" title="second-hand: relayed by {{.Actor}}">reported by {{.Actor}}</span>{{end}}{{if .Hypothetical}} <span class="badge small">hypothetical</span>{{end}}{{if .Negated}} <span class="badge small">negated</span>{{end}}</div>
<div class="muted small">interpretation confidence {{pct .Interpretation}}{{range .Notes}} · {{.}}{{end}} · {{ago .CreatedAt}}{{if .SourceEvent}} · <a href="/events/{{.SourceEvent}}">message</a>{{end}}</div></li>{{end}}</ul>
<p class="small muted">An assertion records that somebody took a stance. Its confidence is about the reading, not the proposition; the proposition's score is above and rests on the evidence listed.</p>{{end}}
<h2>Evidence against</h2>
<ul class="plain ev">{{range $d.Evidence}}{{if eq .Direction "against"}}<li class="{{if .Retracted}}retracted{{end}}"><div><strong>{{conf .Weight}}</strong> × cred {{conf .Credibility}} <span class="badge">{{.Kind}}</span></div><div>{{.Note}}</div><div class="muted small">{{.Source}} · {{ago .CreatedAt}} {{if and (eq .Kind "belief") .RefID}}· <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{.RefID}}">belief</a>{{else if and (eq .Kind "event") .RefID}}· <a href="/events/{{.RefID}}">event</a>{{end}}</div></li>{{end}}{{else}}<li class="muted">None.</li>{{end}}</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="card">
<h2>Alternative explanations</h2>
{{if $d.Alternatives}}<ul class="plain">{{range $d.Alternatives}}<li>{{.Proposition}} <span class="muted small">({{.Status}}{{if .Note}} · {{.Note}}{{end}})</span></li>{{end}}</ul>{{else}}<p class="muted small">None recorded.</p>{{end}}
{{if .Principal.User.Role.AtLeast "operator"}}<form method="post" action="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{$b.ID}}/alternatives" class="row"><input type="hidden" name="_csrf" value="{{.CSRF}}"><input name="proposition" placeholder="another explanation" size="40" required><button class="btn small" type="submit">Add</button></form>{{end}}
</div>
{{if $d.Links}}<div class="card"><h2>Contradictions and links</h2><ul class="plain">{{range $d.Links}}<li><span class="badge danger">{{.Relation}}</span> <a href="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{.Other.ID}}">{{.Other.Proposition}}</a> <span class="muted small">({{.Other.Status}}, {{conf .Other.Confidence}})</span></li>{{end}}</ul></div>{{end}}
<div class="card">
<h2>History <span class="muted small">append-only</span></h2>
<table class="table compact"><thead><tr><th>v</th><th>Status</th><th class="num">Conf</th><th>Reason</th><th>When</th><th></th></tr></thead>
<tbody>{{range $d.Versions}}<tr><td>{{.Version}}</td><td><span class="badge st-{{.Status}}">{{.Status}}</span></td><td class="num">{{conf .Confidence}}</td><td class="small">{{.Reason}}</td><td class="small muted nowrap">{{.CreatedAt.Local.Format "01-02 15:04:05"}}</td><td>{{if .EventID}}<a class="small" href="/events/{{.EventID}}">event</a>{{end}}</td></tr>{{end}}</tbody></table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="stack">
{{if .Principal.User.Role.AtLeast "operator"}}
<div class="card">
<h2>Add evidence</h2>
<form method="post" action="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{$b.ID}}/evidence" class="stack">
<input type="hidden" name="_csrf" value="{{.CSRF}}">
<label>Direction <select name="direction"><option value="for">for</option><option value="against">against</option></select></label>
<label>Note <input name="note" required maxlength="500" placeholder="what you observed"></label>
<label class="slider"><span>Weight</span><input type="range" name="weight" min="0.1" max="1" step="0.1" value="0.5" data-out><output>0.5</output></label>
<div><button class="btn small" type="submit">Add</button></div>
</form>
</div>
{{if ne $b.Status "rejected"}}
<div class="card">
<h2>Correct</h2>
<form method="post" action="/minds/{{$m.Slug}}/beliefs/{{$b.ID}}/retract" class="stack">
<input type="hidden" name="_csrf" value="{{.CSRF}}">
<label>Why it is wrong <input name="reason" required maxlength="500"></label>
<label class="check"><input type="checkbox" name="do_not_infer" value="1"> Do not infer this again</label>
<div><button class="btn btn-danger" type="submit" data-confirm="Mark this belief wrong? History is kept.">This belief is wrong</button></div>
</form>
</div>
{{end}}
{{end}}
<div class="card"><h2>Events</h2>{{if $d.Origin}}<p class="small">Origin: <a href="/events/{{$d.Origin.ID}}">{{$d.Origin.Summary}}</a></p>{{end}}{{if $d.Events}}<ul class="plain small">{{range $d.Events}}<li><span class="etype cat-{{.Category}}">{{.Type}}</span> <a href="/events/{{.ID}}">{{.Summary}}</a></li>{{end}}</ul>{{else}}<p class="muted small">None.</p>{{end}}</div>
<div class="card small"><span class="muted">ID</span> <span class="mono">{{$b.ID}}</span></div>
</div>
</section>
{{end}}